Article Reviews
Terrorism and CO-IN
K. P. S. Gill. "End game in Punjab". Faultlines
1, 1999:1-72
KPS Gill as Director General of Police in Punjab
has been identified more than any other single individual with the defeat of terrorism in
Punjab. This article seeks to vindicate the authors beliefs and strategies in
dealing with the Punjab Crisis. Specifically, it asserts that (1) normalcy in Punjab could
not be restored without a coherent civil-military plan that included a clear mandate for
the security forces, preferably lead by the Punjab Police, to pursue those individuals and
organizations that committed acts of terrorism, and (2) that such an effort will involve
force, that the use of such force is not only the right, but also the duty of the state.
Gill bears these claims out with statistics and a detailed narration. The article is aimed
squarely against the sections of the Indian (and some Western) press, polity, human rights
NGOs and the public who tend to oppose any use of state force. These same sections have
leveled the most damaging claims of grave human rights abuse against Gill and the security
forces. Gill however does not seriously deal with such claims in the paper.
The title is a little misleading, as Gill spends
almost the entire first half of the paper describing the political scene, terrorist
activities, and the Punjab Police in the years 1981-1987. He paints a convincing picture
of a police force paralyzed, like the rest of Punjab by the unfamiliar phenomenon of
terrorism gradually reshaping itself, despite a political establishment alternately
unwilling and unable to provide coherent leadership. Gill addresses the contentious issues
of the 1984 Operation Bluestar (for which he blames Indira Gandhi, rather than the Army),
and the anti-Sikh riots in New Delhi instigated by members of Indira Gandhis
Congress (I) party upon her assassination by a vengeful Sikh bodyguard later that year. In
his words, "I regard Operation Bluestar and the November 1984 massacres as the two
most significant victories for the cause of Khalistan
not won by the
militants, but inflicted
upon the nation by its own Government
These two
events, in combination, gave a new lease of life to a movement which could easily have
been contained in 1984 itself." Whether the movement could have been 'contained' in
1984 seems questionable, given the descriptions of the state of police, public and
political fear.
There are several sub-themes to this paper. The
importance of a combined civil-military policy in successfully dealing with terrorism
figures prominently. The article correlates the roller-coaster statistics of deaths due to
terrorism and geographic distribution of such activities with the political strategies of
different administrations at the state and central level. He saves his harshest words for
the VP Singh and Chandrashekhar governments, whose misguided policies of terrorist
recognition and negotiation reversed the dramatic and hard fought victories of 1988-1989.
One of the other sub-themes is police primacy. Gill demonstrates that the Punjab Police
bore the brunt of the effort at least in terms of casualties. It was also crucial in
creating the intelligence gathering, processing, and dissemination machinery that allowed
security forces to target terrorists and their support infrastructure. Gill is also
explicit regarding his reservations over the use of the army in such operations. He
describing the army as temperamentally and operationally unsuitable for such conditions,
predisposed by nature to short term goals and local hostility and thus incapable of
gathering the same depth and breadth of intelligence. He does however acknowledge their
value as pools of manpower for major operations. The author denounces the mistrust of the
army and paramilitaries towards the police. However, the author admits that the police did
have a problem with motivation as well as a significant proportion of individuals with
Sikh separatist sympathies - an echo of the Indian situation in Kashmir.
If one accepts the premise of police primacy, we
must ask what made the difference between the police of 1983 and 1989, given that the
ethnic demographics of the force remained roughly the same. The answer is talented and
determined individuals at the top such as Gill, who in turn weeded and tended personnel to
shape a force willing and capable of defeating terrorism. As a Punjabi with considerable
police experience in the frequently insurgent North East of India and a Sikh who
understood local peculiarities, he was exactly the right kind of person to be appointed
DGP, Punjab Police in 1988. This is an important lesson learned that will does not
articulate, perhaps out of a misplaced sense of modesty.
Gill is careful to stress the paramount importance
role of public disenchantment with the forces of Khalistan in turning the tide. He
attributes this turning to the inherent criminality of the terrorists. However, one may
conclude that this had just as much to do with greater security from terrorist retribution
due to security forces gains, as well as schemes such as Village Defense Committees, Home
Guards and Special Police Officers. Gill also describes the hugely successful civil
disobedience and political subversion that accompanied the 1990-1991 upswing in terrorist
activity, that depended in at least in part on media amplification. Gill tacitly admits
that the Punjab crisis could have continued for much longer if the separatists and their
political fronts had not made the strategic error of boycotting the 1991 elections - a
decision in which neither Gill nor the security forces played any part in. An electoral
victory would have conferred the kind of domestic and even international legitimacy they
could no longer extract at gun-point, while possibly fracturing the political consensus to
defeat terrorism. This important issue deserved more attention.
This paper is a long but worthwhile read, valuable
not least because it comes from the man who was in the hot seat. As far as
counterinsurgency goes, Gill is conventional in that he adheres to the principles of
minimum force, civil-military co-ordination, defeating subversion of the political system,
and flexibility. However, the background to the separatist movement is limited to rhetoric
rather than incisive analysis- possibly because Gill was not part of the scene in those
times. A recommended reading list at the end for deeper study would have been greatly
appreciated. One awaits the chance to read Gills book, 'Knights of Falsehood' which covers
the entire period in greater depth. It remains to be seen whether it will take the shape
of a COIN handbook, a history, a scholarly treatise, or further attempts at vindication,
or a combination of the above.
J.Price
Bharat Karnad. 'A New Strategy for the LoC &
Low-intensity Warfare in Kashmir'. Faultlines 2, 1999: 116-137
This article is based on the thesis that
international law is made by powerful countries to be twisted to subserve their interests.
From this, it can be shown that in international law is incongruent and often
contradictory, and that sticking to the letter of the law is responsible for the
reactionary position that New Delhi finds itself in. The implication of this is that India
needs to undertake actions that exploit the loopholes that the contradictions in
International law permit it to do. In this, Karnad may appear to advocate that which he
despises; nonetheless, his recommendations represent a maximalist position. It is
instructive to note that the maximalist position is one that presses for Pakistani
acceptance of the Line of Control (LoC) as an international boundary, and is in ironic
contrast to the continuing actions of the Pakistani government.
The lesson of all the previous wars fought by
India was crystallized in the lessons of Kargil, and that lesson is that India has not
learned from its past. The danger in the Indian diplomatic and military success in Kargil
is that the nation is very likely to use the success as justification for continuing its
existing policies. Karnad is emphatic that any such status-quoism condemns India to
dealing reactively with Pakistan dictating the tempo of the interaction.
The primary goal that Karnad advocates is the
conversion of the Line of Control into an International Border. To achieve this aim, he
advocates reciprocating the Pakistani strategy in its entirety; tackling Pakistan in the
political-ideological realm; mounting Special Forces operations all along the LoC to grab
territory; and assisting malcontents within Pakistan. Karnad justifies the violation of
LoC from international law relating to Cease-Fire Lines, and the practical irrelevance of
the Simla Accord. Karnad makes the distinction between violations of the LoC and the IB
from a nuclear threshold standpoint, indicating that violations of the IB will raise the
nuclear ante. It is unclear if his assumption that an Indian violation of the LoC will not
raise the nuclear ante is justified, although this justification is based on Pakistani
violations of the LoC.
The obvious dichotomy between what can be said and
what must be done implies the necessity for a superior public relations infrastructure.
Such an infrastructure, which does not exist currently, must be able to convince domestic
and international pressure groups of the validity and necessity of the actions of the
Indian government. As mentioned at the outset, Karnads recommendations are
maximalist in nature. The past few years have witnessed a hardening in the Indian stand.
If the subversive activities of the Pakistani Inter Services Intelligence in Kashmir and
elsewhere in India do not subside it is quite likely that these maximalist stances will
gain ascendancy. Clearly, the situation will become unstable as this occurs. This
increasing danger, Karnad believes, is the only message Pakistan is likely to understand.
S. Joshua
A. K. Sachdev. 'Media Related Lessons from Kargil'. Strategic Affairs. Vol
XXIII No 10, January 2000.
It is widely acknowledged that the
three critical determinants of great power status are a security surplus, military and
economic hard power, and political, social and intellectual soft power. Media management
and public relations is a function of the state of intellectual soft power that is
available and used. The Indian record of accomplishment in this area is reflected in its
frequent failure to exhibit intellectual leadership, initiative, and creativity in
international and diplomatic affairs. Other aspects of the lack of intellectual soft power
are its frequent failure to anticipate problems both in domestic and international
affairs. Ultimately, we must consciously pursue the creation of intellectual soft power,
as it does not flow from economic hard power.
Sachdev seeks to analyze the lessons that emerge
from the Kargil war in order to develop a better model for future interactions between the
military and the media. The article establishes the importance of media management without
entering the specifics of how this may be achieved. The history of defense journalism is
briefly discussed to highlight the colonial baggage that the Directorate of Public
Relations (DPR) continues to carry. It appears that no review of public relations from the
military standpoint has been undertaken, and consequently, the lessons from the past have
not been adequately learned. The bureaucratic hold over the DPR is described as
"complete and unquestionable." The implications of bureaucratic rivalry between
the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) and the Ministry of Defence (MOD) are observed in
the MEA presiding over media briefings of military operations. It is clear that the MEA
has a role to play, but it is equally clear that the role of the MEA is not the role of
the MOD. The culpability of the bureaucracy in this, as well as other matters of
importance to national security, is indubitable.
Numerous instances of media mis-management from
the Kargil war are recounted. These include a failure to rebut inaccurate and
uncomplimentary rumors, delayed briefings giving the enemy the initiative to mould public
and international opinion, poor management of international press, and inept handling of
potentially positively explosive events (such as the return of mutilated bodies of Indian
soldiers and the recovery of bodies of Pakistani soldiers on Indian soil). Although the
author does not discuss it, the information management during the Atlantique incident, and
the Indian Airlines hijacking to Qandahar illustrate that few of the lessons have been
learned.
The author focuses on the content of the media
briefings rather than on the methodology of these briefings. Clearly, a war fought on
television owes as much to the images on television as much as the content of those
images. Clearly, the MOD, Military, and the MEA need to groom spokespersons that are
articulate, confident, and knowledgeable. This implies that these spokespersons need not
be from the civil services, or the armed forces. The pragmatic implementation of the
Official Secrets Act is also critical. Finally, the need for the different branches of
government to work together is also noted. Information warfare is critical in the future
and if we dont prepare for it, history has shown us that we will unerringly repeat
our past mistakes.
S. Joshua
Sudhir Bloeria. 'Kargil -- A
Window of Opportunity'. Faultlines 4, 1999: 116-137
The author analyses the Kargil episode from
a historical standpoint. Instead of treating Kargil in isolation, he attempts to present a
holistic view of how Kargil is just the third innings in Pakistani designs to wrest
Kashmir from India. The author begins with a brief description of the strategic importance
of Kashmir. He then moves on to set the historical perspective for Kargil by giving a
brief, but effective, description of the 1947, 65 and 71 wars with Pakistan. Then he
offers a detailed analysis of the Kargil "war." The author concludes the paper
by lamenting the kid-glove attitude the Government of India (GOI) has adopted towards
Pakistan from its inception and makes a strong pitch for a more determined and no-nonsense
approach.
During the entire 1947-48 war, the author
points out, the GOI never took any measures that would make Pakistan think twice about its
actions in Kashmir. The Indian stand is likely to have hardened Pakistani belligerence
leading to the subsequent guerilla infiltration by Pakistan into Kashmir in 1965. The
author also laments the complete failure of the Indian government in exploiting the
sentiments of the local populace, which had turned completely pro-India after the
unbridled rape and loot perpetrated by the Pakistani tribesmen in 1947-48.
The author's theory for Pakistan's
misadventure in Kargil seems fallacious. He attributes it to the establishment of a
"popular" elected government in J&K in 1996. Consequently, the author
suggests, the local support for militancy had dried up forcing Pakistan to take recourse
to the Kargil misadventure. However, the author rightly recognizes that the local populace
of Kargil never supported the terrorists and played a major role in the detection of
infiltration.
In referring to the now familiar tune of
the "failure of Indian intelligence", the author brings up an interesting point.
He regrets the traditional lack of interest among the Indian intelligence agencies
regarding the Northern Areas when compared to what Pakistan calls Azad Kashmir. Since an
operation of this magnitude requires months, at least, of advanced planning, logistics
would have been arranged at Skardu, Astore, and other forward bases. The failure of RAW,
IB and MI in catching any scent of this operation is a monumental failure, he asserts.
This failure demands better co-ordination and co-operation between these intelligence
agencies.
Finally, the author laments Indias
dependence on international goodwill and diplomacy in dealing with Pakistan. Clearly, this
strategy has failed. The author suggests that calling a spade a spade is not belligerence,
but only prudent thinking. It is time for India to shed its image of a soft state and make
it clear to Pakistan that any future misadventures would be dealt with an iron hand.
Kargil should disabuse us of any complacency. Should that happen, Kargil --the author says
-- could be a defining moment, a watershed, and a new beginning.
S.Rani
K. Prabha. 'Defining Terrorism'. Strategic
Affairs. Vol XXIV No 1, April 2000.
Prabha analyzes the many definitions of a
terrorist, in a search for a definition that fits all the important aspects of terrorism.
This search for an all-encompassing definition is driven by the belief that recognizing
terrorism is essential to preventing it.
The author presents many definitions of a
terrorist and explains why they do not describe the terrorist problem in its entirety. The
author suggests that the oft-quoted definition of terrorism as the use of violence against
random civilian targets lacks the crucial aspect of international linkage in its
description. The United Nations description of a terrorist as a criminal is characterized
as misleading because it does not address the political motive that distinguishes the
criminal from the terrorist.
The author concludes that terrorism may be defined
as "an act or threat of an act of tactical violence by a group of trained
individuals, having international linkage, to achieve political objectives." Clearly,
this definition does not differentiate between state and non-state actors that pursue
political goals through military intervention. It is possible that the blurring of the
roles played by state and non-state actors was deliberate, and designed to draw attention
to the role of the Pakistani government and its Inter Services Intelligence in aiding
terrorists in India. However, by doing so it claims within its ambit any non-peacekeeping
military operation launched across international borders and muddies the waters even
further. Finally, it is unclear how the above definition makes it any easier to address
the issue of terrorism prevention. Nonetheless, the article provides a useful bibliography
and review of definitions of terrorism.
C. Hobbes
B. Chengappa. 'Pakistans
Compulsions for the Kargil Misadventure'. Strategic Affairs. Vol XXIII No 7,
April 1999.
This article seeks to examine the rationale for
the Pakistani decision to cross the Line of Control (LoC) and occupy territory in the
Kargil area. This article was published immediately after the war, and does not have the
benefit of the Kargil Review Committee report or the coup in Pakistan, in formulating its
conclusions. Further, the article does not analyze the success or failures of the various
objectives. Nevertheless, its conclusions are generally valid because they have addressed
the issue at a macro level.
The article concludes that the Kargil intrusion
was driven by both political as well as military agendas. This is created by a congruence
of long term considerations and short term needs. The long-term considerations involve
strategic insecurity, small-nation-syndrome, asymmetry of power driven by Indias
threat perceptions involving China and the equalization created by overt nuclearization.
The short term needs is linked to domestic political compulsions and the role of radical
Islam in the Pakistani polity.
The methodology adopted flows from the military
asymmetry and the necessity of unconventional warfare. Although the author does not
indicate this, it is clear that Pakistani nuclearization coincides with its escalation of
unconventional warfare along the Line of Control (LoC) in Kashmir, and International
Border (IB) in Punjab. With reference to Kargil, the military goals were to cut off the
logistics route to Siachen, alter the status of the LoC, and provide a stimulus to the
terrorism in Kashmir. The military goals also involved the threat of nuclearization to
create conditions for a cease-fire and international intervention. The political goals
were intended to crystallize attention away from the misgovernance of the Sharif
administration, and to permit further consolidation of power. The diplomatic goals were
the re-internationalization of the Kashmir issue and the involvement of the United States
in a favorable resolution of the Kashmir issue.
C. Hobbes |