The Kargil Review Committee (KRC) Report
makes a number of recommendations based on its findings. These recommendations can be
broadly categorized into four areas of reform - National Security Establishment,
Intelligence, Armed Forces, and other. Let us examine the recommendations in these broad
categories.
National Security Establishment reforms
The report recommends the establishment of a full time National
Security Adviser (NSA), as the job is demanding in attention. Combining the offices of the
Principal Secretary to the PM and the NSA will lead to information overload and both the
functions cannot be fulfilled to satisfaction. A second echelon group of personnel is also
suggested. A full time NSA is a laudable goal but this should be balanced with the
bureaucratic setup in India. Creating a new office is not enough. It should have power and
responsibility by Act of Parliament to ensure that the office is not under-cut due to
bureaucratic squabbles. In order to sensitize the Establishment of the importance of
assessed intelligence briefings; the report recommends periodic briefings on intelligence.
This is good but sensitization occurs with education. Without education this
recommendation could end up becoming a dog and pony show. A better approach would be to
conduct short courses in the importance of intelligence at the National Defense College
for those in the leadership track to raise awareness of the subject.
The report studies the lack of centralized decision making in the
national security management structure. It bemoans the lack of integration of the civil
and military wings of the Ministry of Defense and the absence of the position of the Chief
of Defense Staff. It recommends the integration of the civil and military wings and the
appointment of a Chief of Defense Staff. It rightly points out civilian control will
increase with this measure. It also shows that finally India is shedding its colonial mind
set. This is the only way after the nuclearization of South Asia. Clearly, some of the
junior services have misgivings . However, with increasing emphasis on joint warfare new
leaders will be created who are able to be force commanders instead of single service
assets.
The Report recommends the creation of a white paper on the Indian
Nuclear Weapon Program and Policy. Although the recent publication of books on this
subject, are gratifying there are still gaps. These gaps provide opportunity for
detractors. A major concern is the depiction of the strategic enclave,
influencing the decision to test. This has to be dispelled. The West is obsessed by the
Dr. Strangelove syndrome of out-of-control behavior. This is understandable, and it is
necessary to avoid a loose nukes scenario. However, Indian scientists deserve
better than this characterization. The reluctance of the political leaders, involved in
the weapons program, to acknowledge their role after the tests, has done a lot of damage
to the Government of India. It has been depicted in many quarters as having been
single-minded in deciding to test for political reasons. Clearly, all the evidence does
not have to be made public but the important fact is to put on record that the decision to
test was made after due deliberations on its impact. It is necessary to document the
decision making process to clarify that observed mis-steps after the tests were primarily
due to lack of information and misunderstanding by those not in the loop, rather than ad
hoc decision making.
A major policy recommendation of the report is to have a declaratory
policy for Line of Control (LoC) violations. This is very important as the report
continually finds that Pakistan has erred repeatedly in reading the Indian response to
cross border aggression and terrorism. There is merit in the suggestion that unless all
elements are in place to support such a declaration it will not achieve its purpose. This
means the NS apparatus, the Ministry of Defense and Armed forces integration and
modernization of the forces. The current stalemate is due to the Pakistani threat to
resort to nuclear weapons if there is any escalatory actions across the LoC to counter
terrorism. Their doctrine also calls for a riposte strikes across the international
borders into India. The force modernization policy has to be such that it can blunt the
riposte wherever it is deployed and still execute the counter terrorism measures without
having to resort to nuclear forces. There should be no ambiguity about the deployment of
these forces in order to convey assured retaliation in case any thresholds are breached in
anger or desperation. The force balance between India and Pakistan in the region of
interest will be less than 1.5:1. As manpower is less expensive to match, India must
increase the technological edge. A lesson can be learned from NATO plans for stopping
Warsaw pact assaults during the Cold War. All this will be expensive and needs prudent
resource allocation and expenditure.
The report recommends measures to win back alienated segments of
population. The idea of India has to take hold in the minds of the population and the
parochial tendencies should be discouraged. However, this should not be mistaken for
appeasement.
Intelligence Reforms
The KRC report has an extensive set of recommendations in this area in
view of the principal finding of total surprise in anticipating the Pakistani actions at
Kargil. The Report starts by recommending augmenting the surveillance capability through
satellite imagery. It is deplorable that despite having an advanced set of space systems -
IRS series of satellites these resources have not been adequately used. The
establishment has been adamant about exercising shutter control on sale imagery of India
and that would lead one to conclude that it was being tasked for this purpose. However, it
appears that was not the case. Reasons include lack of sufficient resolution;
equator-crossing occurring when most of the hills would be covered in fog, and other
priorities. What this means is a radar based satellite is necessary in addition to what is
available or planned. Their suggestion on two-stream approach for downloading and
interpretation is dependent on the resolution desired. Current capabilities are better
served with ISRO downloads and interpretation/quick look by Armed Forces personnel at ISRO
site. Further processing of time invariant data for other uses can be at Armed Forces
locations. With the move towards civilian imagery to 1meter resolution, this approach
should be cost-effective.
The report recommends the acquisition of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
(UAVs) and the timely dissemination of acquired information to users. The report also
suggests augmenting the Cheetah helicopter flights with other less vibration prone craft
while the UAVs are acquired.
It also commends the acquisition of the tapes of the conversation
between Pakistani generals and shows the progress achieved in this field by India.
However, it calls for revamping technical/signals intelligence gathering in a single
agency akin to the NSA in the US. This area appears to be a good area to integrate the
assets in RAW and the Armed Forces for strategic intelligence. The forces still need their
tactical units. All these recommendations show the tactical focus of the report on
intelligence reform.
The report recommends the creation of a separate defense intelligence
agency. This is a major recommendation and needs consideration due to the changed
circumstances in South Asia after the tests. There is a need to obtain actionable
intelligence useful to the forces for their deterrence and combat role. The civilian
agency could concentrate on gathering strategic intelligence and assessments. The danger
is that most of the recommendations being made are of a tactical nature and there is
possibility of another surprise due to the tactical focus.
The committee suggests revamping the roles of existing agencies by
having the technical collection fed into a premier national intelligence agency, which has
access to all available inputs. This is similar to the charter of the Central Intelligence
Agency (CIA) in the US. A committee to probe the failure at Pearl Harbor created the
latter after the end of World War II. India has had to pay a high price for not learning
from others. However, incomprehensibly, it does not call for designating the RAW as the
premier national service although it is the most suited to the task given adequate
resources. The head of RAW should be designated Director of National Intelligence ad the
analysis wing restructured to ensure access to all available inputs. It needs estimates
and assessment offices, mechanisms for interagency cooperation, and a reduction in the
hierarchical nature of the organizations involved.
It further finds that the present system of collection and assessments
is outmoded and does not deliver the all the available assessed intelligence. It
recommends a thorough re-examination of the roles and missions of the intelligence system
and a rectification of the deficiencies. The bane of Indian intelligence system has been
the multiplicity of agencies working in compartments and not providing a centralized
assessed estimates to the policy makers. The principal intelligence fault at Kargil was
the focus on strategic issues to the neglect of tactical intelligence. This strategic
focus was due to the lack of penetration of enemy organizations. Strategic intelligence
was pursued since it did not require such skills. Hence, there is a need for technical
means to overcome the obstacles. In addition, this needs resources - financial and human.
Allocation of these resources is a government function that the report does not discuss.
Another issue not discussed is the bureaucratic nature of the
organizations. The failure to pass on information and wait for proper channels is plain
shirking duty and smacks of politicking and a measure of the lack of responsibility in the
bureaucratic system in India. It is time to assess whether the civil service method of
selection of personnel for this task has served India well in this matter. There has to be
induction of fresh blood taken even by lateral induction of experts and an outlet has to
be provided for service officials to quit who are disinterested and have lost the drive
for public service.
The report further concludes that Pakistani action at Kargil was
irrational and needs study. It recommends the extension of the pool of experts to include
outside the government. It suggests the establishment of think tanks and country
specialization at universities and exchange of interaction between the academia and the
community. The report seems to ignore the fact that there already exists an infra
structure for this type of activity- the eighteen area studies centers in the University
system. However, these are neglected by the establishment and under-funded. In addition,
the Ministry of External Affairs that should take a lead in the running of these centers
is totally wrapped up in its bureaucratic aura.
However, the idea that Pakistani adventure in Kargil was irrational is
questionable. Pakistans immediate objective was to occupy the heights to cut the
road to Siachen. Its medium term objective was to grab territory and obtain possession in
case of an internationally arranged cease-fire. Its long-range objective was to raise the
bogey of nuclear escalation and bring in international mediation in Kashmir. All these got
forestalled by the GOI not crossing the LoC and exercising restraint. To argue that
Pakistans behavior was irrational is thus not correct. If the supposition is true
then the whole deterrence issue becomes moot and will drive the cost of weaponization.
Armed Forces reforms
The KRC report makes a series of recommendations for revamping the
Armed Forces including counter terrorist operations. The bulk of the recommendations is
Army related but applies to the other services also. The Committee recognizes that proxy
war at the borders and the terrorism is the twin short-term threats facing the country. In
order to fight these they suggest adopting an integrated manpower and equipment policy for
the Armed Forces, para-military and Central Police forces. They make some suggestions here
which could improve the functioning of the secondary forces and thus allow the Armed
Forces the task of fighting external forces. While the goal is correct, the manner of
implementing should be carefully studied. The issue is the nature of the institutional
culture of the forces. Armed forces should not be tied down fighting local insurgencies as
it detracts from their mission. In addition, para-military and central police forces by
nature face a different mission- controlling civilian unrest. If these are combined or
personnel interchanged it could lead to wrong results. The via media is to improve the
para-military/civil police forces in training and equipment. They should be deployed as
the main insurgency fighting force as the Armed Constabulary force is meant to be. The
armed forces have to be trained and equipped for fighting external forces. In addition, if
that needs the creation of a National Guard or a Territorial Army, then we must pursue
that route. There should be no confusion in the roles and missions of these types of
forces. The goal should be to create highly effective force structures to combat these two
short-term menaces.
An area not mentioned is the creation of joint commands combining all
fighting assets. This becomes a necessity in order to optimize the resource utilization
and is a follow-up to the recommendation to create a Chief of Defense Staff A notional
structure would create theater commanders who control all force assets including civil
forces. The principal border commands could be commanded by Army officers and the Southern
Theater by naval officer. The Air Force could command the Central Theater with the
strategic assets. These have to be accompanied by necessary skill upgradation in the
combat colleges.
The related subject of border management is handled separately. The
report recommends the integrated approach to the subject of border management, which has
become complex due to multifarious threats smuggling, narcotics, illegal
immigration, and terrorists. Currently a multitude of agencies under separate ministries
fight this menace and are quite ineffective.
On the important subject of Defense Budget, which is needed to carry
out all reforms the report does not suggest any percentages but advises that force
modernization dealing with high altitude warfare needs should have priority. The report
while being correct in its stance of not recommending definite percentage of GDP should
have suggested notional numbers as benchmarks in order to carry out the reforms suggested.
The issue is in India recommendations are made without regard to affordability and remain
un-implemented.
Other reforms
The report deals with media relations and management in this section.
While describing Kargil as Indias first TV war, it points out the fact that there
was no infrastructure to support the media at the front lines. There were no systematic
briefings to the correspondents. This led to rumors and speculations being passed off as
reporting. This did untold damage to morale of the fighting soldiers. It lauds the Army
for reviving the war correspondent course at its College of Combat. This should be
augmented with instructors from the other services so that a tri-service perspective is
given.
While the report is correct about the role of the media in shaping the
public perception, an important factor is Indian public is media aware and the functioning
of the spokespersons was quite lacking. The daily press briefing was pathetic with three
different spokespersons with bad accents. The quality of the microphones compounded the
problem. All these led to unnecessary agony for the public. In addition, the foreign media
was not given sufficient attention that could counter negative propaganda from the other
side. As the war was equally for the mind and attention of international audience, this
aspect should have been brought up in the report. The existing DVAP and other machinery
was not pressed into service.
The report recommends creating an information channel for the Armed
Forces akin to that existing in the US. However with availability of satellite channels
the issue of entertainment in remote areas is moot. The important point is to be aware of
the need to provide timely and accurate information to the troops and this can be done by
other means like regular reports and briefing to existing outlets.
The report faults previous governments in not keeping the public
informed of the threats and realities of national security. A suggestion is made to bring
out policy documents on subjects of importance and war histories. This documenting is
essential in a democratic nation. It also enables the creation of an informed public that
understands the actions of the government. Another issue not delved into, but relevant, is
the role of the civil service. It is time to examine how well India, is served by the
current set-up of the civil services of different cadre. This has to be the subject of
another commission.
Conclusion
All in all the KRC has done a good job of reviewing the causes of the
surprise at Kargil and has made some recommendations. The government for its part has
set-up four task forces to study and add to the recommendations. Even though the
implementation of the reports recommendations does not gaurantee us immunity from
surprises in the future, it will ensure that we are better prepared to deal with major
crises if and when they occur. The KRC report is a landmark in modern Indias history
and shows the governments efforts in transparency and more importantly
accountability to its true masters- the people of India.