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The All Seeing Eye
(Volume 1(4) August 2005)

- The
All Seeing Eye
The heinous terrorist act at the Ayodhya temple complex casts a
dark shadow over the India-Pakistan peace process. If it were not
for the presence of mind and courage shown by the security
officers deployed at the site, an extremely dangerous and
escalatory situation would have most certainly resulted. The
editorial team would like to congratulate and thank the brave men
and women of the Central Reserve Police Force and the Uttar
Pradesh Provincial Armed Constabulary for their efforts.
Investigations by the police have uncovered leads that
point to the involvement of the Pakistan based terrorist group,
the Laskhar-e-Taiba in the attack.
(more).

- Strategy,
Strategy, and Strategy
Capt. (r) Bharat Verma
By a turn of good fortune, geo-political factors today favor India. We are perhaps the only country in the world with unique access to opposing camps, consisting of major and minor powers or groups. Hence, it is time for New Delhi to convert this goodwill by adopting intelligent stratagems to register maximum gains. Instead of issuing contradictory policy statements without thinking things through, the new mantra in New Delhi, should be ‘strategy, strategy and strategy.’ It is imperative that each move is well thought out and takes into account all long-term implications, and that every counter-measure that impacts on our strategic environment is dealt with by a calibrated and studied response.
(more)
- Integrating
the Seven Sisters
Brig. Amrit Kapur VSM
The
ravishingly beautiful and picturesque
landmass of our country, which adorns the mantle of the
northeastern states, may distance wise be even less than Chennai
or
Trivandrum
is from
New Delhi
, yet it
remains emotionally detached from the rest of
India
. The reasons
are more than intriguing. The
perceived distance has more to do with the mindset of the
average Indian rather than the actual physical distance.(more)
- Fifteen
Years of Pakistan's Proxy War, Should the Kashmiris dare to
hope?
Brig. (r) Gurmeet
Kanwal
Since end-1989, Pakistan has been waging a ‘proxy war’ against India in
Jammu and Kashmir (J&K). It has done this by aiding and abetting disaffected
and misguided youth to rise against the Indian state. Despite the one year old
ceasefire on the LoC and the recent rapprochement, Pakistan continues to
surreptitiously practice its peculiar brand of state-sponsored terrorism. This
is borne out by the continuing attempts at infiltration and the number of
incidents of violence in Kashmir during 2004.
( more)
- There
is a Reaction to Every Action
K
Gajendra Singh
It was not a false cry of ‘wolf, wolf ' on 7 July .The wolf had reached London unlike 13 February,
2003 when an ‘alert’ exercise was organized in London and
US cities to influence the UN Security Council vote on the
report of Chief Weapons Inspector Hans Blix for war on Iraq.
Next day, an Arab editorial remarked, “Has UK Prime
Minister Tony Blair taken leave of his senses? The sight of
tanks and armored patrol vehicles patrolling London’s
Heathrow airport suggests so -- does Blair envisage — an
Al-Qaeda panzer division –- -Washington appears equally
paranoid. (more)
- The
Nuclear Truth Triumphs
Narayanan
Komerath
No honest student of current affairs
or history can deny India’s need for a nuclear deterrent
– or the world’s fears of loose nukes. This week,
Washington and New Delhi showed that they had “got it”
after seven years of “constructive engagement”.(more)
- Partnering
the United States: India's Window of Opportunity
Amit Gupta
After years of fielding
Indian complaints that the United States did not take New
Delhi seriously and favored Pakistan, the Bush Administration
has brought about a qualitative change in the relationship.
The United States has taken the position that it should help
India be a major power in the international system and that
India will be a partner in the preservation of international
stability and in the promotion of democracy. Central to the
shift in policy has been the recognition of India as a de
facto nuclear state and the willingness to transfer civilian
nuclear technology to India. At the same time, Washington
will not ask New Delhi to put its nuclear weapons program
under safeguards. In India, however, the results of the Bush-Manmohan
Singh summit have been met with mixed reactions.
(more)
- The
Chief of Defence Staff
Capt(r) Bharat Verma
The
divisive Indian culture continues to act as the principal
destroyer of consolidation of military power by dithering
over the appointment of a Chief of Defence Staff (CDS). The
‘divide and rule’ concept not only costs the taxpayer a
huge monetary loss through duplication of efforts by Army,
Navy and the Air Force but also denies the government a well
considered, single-point, professional military advice with
integrated inputs from the three Defense Services depicting
the big picture. Thus the sword of the state stands blunted
by the state itself!
(more)

Jittery
Allies Snap at Each Other
K Gajendra Singh
The author
reviews the utterances of Pakistani and their Allied
counterparts in the aftermath of the tragedies of London,
Sharm-al Sheikh and Kusadasi.
(more)
Military
Aviation and National Growth
Air Marshal (r) B.
K. Pandey,
PVSM, AVSM, VM
Adam Smith, the renowned proponent of economic thought has said, “The first duty of a sovereign, that of protecting the society from violence and invasion of other independent societies, can be performed only by means of military forces.” Implicit in this plain statement is the principle that a nation must maintain a certain level of military strength to meet with its obligations. Also, the protective role is best performed through a capability to not only overwhelm the enemy in the event of a conflict, but more importantly, to be able to project an effective deterrent posture. Thus the acquisition of capability to deter and vanquish the enemy is the sacred responsibility of a sovereign state. Military strength is an important ingredient of national power and an expression or manifestation of its strength. Acquisition of military power is, therefore, synonymous with statehood and sovereignty.
(more)
Ensuring
China's "Peaceful Rise"
Prof. M. D. Nalapat
Modern China has astonished the world with its rapid and steady ascent
to economic prosperity. Already the second-largest economy in the world
(in Purchasing Power Parity terms), the Peoples Republic of China is on
course to become the biggest before 2050. This should come as no surprise, for
China, with four millennia of recorded history and a civilization that has
enriched the world, was the primary economic power on earth for most
of the two millennia prior to the second half of the 1800s.It was only
during that period that the Chinese economy ceased to be the world's largest (and India the
second-largest). Since 1979 however, when "Paramount Leader" Deng Xiaoping first brought in
comprehensive economic reforms, the Peoples Republic of China has emerged as the fastest-growing major economy .Chinese scholars have
written of the inevitability of the rise of China, and have elaborated
on their reasons for coming to such a conclusion.
(more)
The
Match with Pakistan
Lt. Gen. (r)
Vinay Shankar, PVSM AVSM, VSM
We should not blame our cricketers or our hockey players for our dismal record against Pakistan. It is something to do with our national psyche. This hypothesis is validated if we look at the bigger game both our countries have been playing ever since independence. And since the people are of the same stock should we not look at our deeper religious, cultural and historical moorings for answers?
(more)
The
State of Terror Will Reveal Itself
Chitra Iyengar
Slowly, but surely, the world is getting more intimately acquainted with the thinking behind the Pakistani Brigadier’s statement. A few countries are already rather familiar with this mindset, having been the targets of Islamist bombers for some years now. Judging by this summer’s suicide bombing season, the wider world better get ready for a crash course.
(more)
Siachen:
Prospects for a Mutually Agreeable Settlement
Aruni Mukherjee
Though
the “line of control [in Jammu & Kashmir]…continues to
witness spurt(s) in infiltration”, the feel-good factor has
never been greater in the Indo-Pak relationship. Nothing could
more exemplify this than a report in The Hindu on July
21, which reported how Indian jawans in Siachen had helped their
Pakistani counterpart recover the body of a fallen comrade. The
report also included a line about a Pakistani civilian who had
strayed into
Indian territory
by mistake being
returned to his homeland. Prospects for the peace process, we
are told, seem irreversibly bright.
(more)
Soft
Borders
Prakash Nanda
Max Weber, one of the foremost intellectuals of the last century, had once argued that borders “are not simply lines on maps where one jurisdiction ends and another begins. … borders are political institutions: no rule-bound economic, social or political life can function without them.” Many admirers of Weber have even suggested that the whole history of human
organization and the modern state can be summarized as a continuous effort to bring territorial borders to coincide with systemic functional boundaries so that the entire population is subject to the widest possible common social, economic and political functions. The idea is that borders do not pose legitimacy problems, both within and beyond, in relation to identity, security and governance. And, for borders to become legitimate, it is universally accepted that they must be clearly delineated and
recognizable. Secondly, there should be international legal recognition of them, although in the cases of divided countries (India-Pakistan, Israel-Palestine, China-Taiwan), the strictest application of this criterion could be little tricky.(more)

- Food
Security Series Part 1: Food Demand
Raj Kumar
Access to adequate food, which is one of the
fore-most basic needs of life, should be the birthright of
every single Indian. In 1970, India’s population was only
two- thirds its current size, but cereal production was only
half the current level and the country was critically dependent
on food aid to prevent wide spread famine, particularly in
drought years. Today, India is self sufficient in cereals. The
nation produces and consumes about 206.4 million metric tonne
of cereals each year (including seed and waste). Over the next
20 years, will total cereal demand will almost double again to
over 340 million tons? Or will there be significant departures
from past trends that may slow or in crease growth in demand?
And will national production of cereals continue to keep pace
with demand, or will in creasing resource scarcity and
degradation—and already high use of high-yielding varieties,
fertilizers, and irrigation—limit future growth
opportunities? (more)
(Executive
Summary, References and Footnotes)
- Narcotics
Trade in South West Asia: Geography and Production
T Raghavan
The globalization of trade coupled with the growth of transnational banking has been accompanied by a transformation of organized crime into transnational criminal enterprises. Due to the extraordinary profits derived from the narcotics trade, criminal organizations have gained enormous economic and political power in certain parts of the world. During the Cold War, these organizations mated with national political agendas and associated terrorist organizations. Weak states with non existent law enforcement mechanisms allowed opium cultivation and refinement without interference and thereby empowered
nacro-terrorist organizations.
(more)
(Executive
Summary, Contents, References and Footnotes)
Government
Response to Left Wing Extremism
Vamsee Kiran Vedula
The rapid spread of Left Wing extremism is
posing a serious challenge to various states of the Indian
Union. The ability of left wing groups to run a parallel
government in their strongholds is undermining the authority of
the Government and impeding the development of these areas. The
cycle of violence is wastefully consuming already scarce
resources. The Government of India has devised a comprehensive,
multi-pronged strategy to deal with Left Wing Extremism. This
paper is an attempt to present the challenge posed by Left Wing
extremism and the Government response to this challenge. (more)
(Executive
Summary, Contents,
References and Footnotes)
India-Israel
Partnership: Convergence and Constraints
Harsh Pant
There has been a steady strengthening of
India
’s
relationship with
Israel
ever since
India
established
full diplomatic relations with
Israel
in 1992,
despite Indian attempts to keep this flourishing bilateral
relationship out of public view. A flourishing Indo-Israeli
relationship has the potential to make a significant impact on
global politics by altering the balance of power, not only in
South Asia
and the
Middle East
, but also
in the larger Asian region, which has been in a state of flux
in recent times. However, notwithstanding the convergence of
interests on a range of issues between
India
and
Israel
, this
bilateral relationship will have to be carefully managed
because of a host of constraints which circumscribe this
relationship. This study examines those factors which are
bringing the two nations increasingly closer and the
constraints that might make it difficult for this relationship
to achieve its full potential.
( more)
(Executive
Summary, Contents,
References and Footnotes)

Pakistan
Almost Exposed
Shiv Shankar Sastry
Like Robert Bruce's spider, repeated effort seems to be going into writing the definitive book on Pakistan. Stephen Cohen's book, "The Idea of Pakistan" comes closest to describing the real Pakistan, but loses its way somewhat towards the end. While the descriptive part is excellent, the analytical part at the end is debatable.
( more)


- Central
Asia: The Coming Storm
Central Asia is the diverse hinterland of Eurasia consisting of eight countries and two land locked seas. This core of Eurasia is circumscribed by Russia, China, the Indian Subcontinent, and the Middle East. The region is the cradle of the many of the world’s great civilizations and religions. Over the past several millennia, migrations out of the steppes have shaped the course of neighboring civilizations. (more)

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