|
About Valour
and Glory: “Operation Parakrama”
Lt Gen (R) Vinay Shankar, PVSM, AVSM, VSM
For any
meaningful exercise to analyze and understand the
sum and substance of Operation Parakrama, a close
look at India’s approach to national security
from the time it emerged from colonial rule would
be necessary. A historical perspective is
essential for grasping the psyche of the
country’s leadership, or for fathoming the
determinants of ‘national will’ or for
assessing the attitude and capability of the
Military as an instrument of national policy.
Even before we
had gathered our wits after our tryst with destiny
at the stroke of the midnight hour, the nation’s
territorial integrity was imperiled. Tribal
militias supported by the Pakistani Army had
invaded Kashmir. A valiant rearguard action saved
Srinagar. The ensuing counter offensive was
aborted mid-stream and we accepted a UN imposed
cease-fire along a line that divided Kashmir into
two. The cease-fire in a way legitimized
Pakistan’s aggression. Thereafter, Pakistan
since then has politically and diplomatically
ceaselessly laid claim to the rest of Kashmir. And
in the pursuit of its claims Pakistan has not
hesitated to use military force whenever in its
perception opportunity came its way.
The Pakistani offensive of 1965 and the
recent Kargil adventure plus the ongoing support
to militancy in J&K, for more than a decade
now, confirm the preceding observation.
In contrast,
we have displayed uncommon passivity. We have
rarely claimed that Pakistan must vacate the areas
of Kashmir that it had occupied in 1947/48. We
have never declared a national commitment to
recover the territory lost to Pakistan nor have we
ever indicated our resolve to use force if
persuasion and dialogue does not elicit a
commitment to amicably withdraw from Kashmir. For
inexplicable reasons we have remained wholly
defensive on the issue of Kashmir. This largely
explains the absence of serious international
support to our position on Kashmir. Marked by
ambivalence, uncertainty, an absence of focus, and
occasional bouts of submissiveness our Kashmir
policy generally mirrors India’s approach to
national security. The 1962 debacle against the
Chinese only further proves the point.
Never in our
history have we been proactive in the pursuit of
our security interests. 1971 and the liberation of
Bangladesh is frequently cited as the only example
of the nation’s leadership managing the
country’s defense with exceptional resoluteness
and a commendable clarity of purpose. But here
again, what is glossed over is that we were
essentially reacting to an unfolding situation
brought about by Pakistan’s genetic gift for
self-destruct. Not that we are without our own
masochistic streak. In the Shimla talks we failed
to carry our success to its logical conclusion by
not pushing for a binding agreement on Kashmir.
The pain of that error still persists.
The
country’s characteristic predilection for flip
flop is also discernible in our acquisition of
nuclear capability. Otherwise, how does one
explain our going into the ‘sleep’ mode for 24
years after our first nuclear explosion in 1974?
Or the suo moto declaration made by us
after going overtly nuclear in 1998 that we shall
not indulge in any further nuclear explosions when
the capabilities that we need to develop a
credible nuclear deterrence would require further
testing.
We are not
certain but perhaps there is only one exception in
the Indo-Pak military stand off, before Parakrama,
when the Pakistanis were apprehensive of our
intentions. This was the time when we were
conducting ‘Exercise Brass Tacks’. Otherwise,
in our mutual history of over fifty years we have
forever remained on the defensive. The totality of
‘Operation Parakrama’ should not be divorced
from this disposition and background.
In Operation
Parakrama, we see the cumulative effect of events
and unrelenting instigation that have been
discernible since the 1990s. That we have
refrained from reacting for more than ten years is
a reflection of what India is – an amalgam of
infinite patience, tolerance, a marked capacity to
drift, inertia and most notably a lack of
self-confidence amongst its leaders, that prevents
them from taking decisions.
The terrorist
attack on our Parliament, coming as it did after
9/11 was the proverbial last straw. We were left
with no alternative but to react. What we are
debating today is the timing and the methodology
of our reaction and not the justification.
Were the political overdrive and the
rhetoric that went with it, warranted? Could the
military mobilization have been calibrated
differently? Was the nuclear dimension ignored or
considered only as an afterthought? And what about
the diplomatic repercussions? Did these
considerations receive the importance that they
deserve as we moved the Armed Forces to their
battle positions?
And what about Pakistan? The core of the
problem! Had we figured out its possible reactions
so that we remained one step ahead as the
situation unfolded? The answers to these questions
and many more would determine whether Operation
Parakrama’s intellectual and conceptual
parameters were fundamentally sound or not.
Without
letting the innumerable, uncoordinated and often
contradictory statements of our leaders color our
judgment let us look at the mobilization of the
Armed Forces that began somewhere around mid
December last year. Such mobilization is
undertaken basically for two contingencies. As a
defensive measure if a military threat is feared
or for using force against an adversary in
consonance with identified national aims. In the
case of the latter, the threat of use of force is
inherent. Ideally the threat should suffice. Which
is what the US is hoping for in the case of Iraq.
Whether it will succeed is anybody’s guess. It
requires enormous skill and adroitness in
psychological warfare. The recent news of a haven
for Saddam Hussein in Russia is a classic example
of the levels of sophistication required to use
the instrument of threat effectively. But if
threat does not work, it is almost certain that
force will be used at an appropriate time.
The threat of
use of force was implicit in our mobilization if
Pakistan did not consent to abandon support to
militants and terrorists operating inside India.
On this issue there are really no divergent views.
Where there is a difference of opinion is on the
next step - the actual application of force. There
are many who firmly believe that the threat was
enough and war was rightly avoided. The flaw in
this position is much too obvious but as
frequently in life here too, logic and right gets
sacrificed at the alter of maturity, pragmatism
and some vague notion of statesmanship. It does
not matter if we are labeled as a ‘paper
tiger’ or a soft, spineless nation or even if
Pakistan gets encouraged to be even more reckless
in its support to terrorism. Hopefully, the hand
of fate will intervene. Maybe it is already
beginning to, if one were to look a little deeply
into recent events involving the exchange of fire
between American and Pakistani soldiers.
If war or the
use of force was not an option then we would have
been wise to commence withdrawal on January 12,
the day the Pakistani President declared in his
address to the nation that he would not permit the
use of his country’s soil for terrorism and
support to Jihadi groups. That would have been
action according to a design. Mission accomplished
and troops back to barracks. Continued deployment,
if the application of force was never seriously on
the agenda only permitted the shock effect to wear
out on Pakistan and was without any corresponding
benefit to us. The temptation to appear wise after
the event is difficult to resist!
There is
considerable satisfaction to be drawn from the
purely military dimension of Operation Parakrama.
From all reports, the total mobilization of the
Armed Forces was smooth and was accomplished
according to ‘book timings’. It was perhaps
for the first time that a mobilization of this
magnitude was undertaken with the urgency that a
‘zero warning’ war situation demands. All
agencies involved in the implementation of this
deployment for war, deserve credit.
Again, in
training and fine-tuning battle procedures, the
Armed Forces would have benefited significantly
during the period that they remained deployed. It
is understood that a deliberate effort was made to
gainfully utilize this opportunity for honing
individual skills, integrating battle groups and
for rehearsing likely operational roles.
Similarly, issues of coordination among the three
services would have been addressed. Altogether,
the combat potential of the defense forces would
have decidedly grown during this period. This is a
big plus.
It is reported
that the state of equipment of the three services
also improved considerably during this period. The
process had begun during the Kargil War but
Tehelka and the CAG reports had slowed the
process. Parakrama would have again emphasized the
vital importance of keeping the defense services
well equipped. The issue of wear and tear of
equipment due to extended deployment, it appears,
has been exaggerated. Admittedly, there would have
been some deterioration but on balance the
equipment state at the end of any such crisis
improves. What is now important is to maintain the
momentum and not let the process of acquisitions
slip behind schedule. The rate of build up of
capability will have a corresponding effect on
Pakistani morale. A preponderant force ratio in
our favor will also give us greater flexibility
and thus more military options. Our ultimate aim
should be to acquire a punitive capability so that
Pakistan can be coerced into giving up its covert
war strategy and become more amenable to accepting
that India cannot give up Kashmir.
Morale has
been a subject of concern because of the
protracted deployment. It would be unfair to
assume that the military leadership would not have
been alive to this problem. Some sections of the
media have talked of low morale. Such reports are
baseless and should be desisted from for they do
not have any constructive intent and can be
harmful. Military morale is an infinitely elastic
phenomenon and the nation must recognize its
responsibility towards lifting the morale of its
soldiers. Those who know the Indian soldier are
aware of his resilience and the little that it
takes to keep him motivated. The odd incidents of
indiscipline or soldiers running amok are being
blown out of proportion. In such situations, some
stress and monotony is bound to occur. Similarly,
there would be the inevitable questions by a few
on the purpose of being kept out on the front with
nothing apparently achieved. Our officers have a
tradition of leading from the front and these are
issues that they can handle. After all, they have
been doing this successfully for the last fifty
years. Yet, a word of caution; it would be unwise
for the society, the bureaucracy and the political
leadership to not have a sense of responsibility
towards our Armed Forces and a commitment to honor
and care for them. There is plenty that the nation
should do to further motivate its priceless
soldiers, sailors and airmen. Just because they
continue to deliver uncomplainingly, they should
not be taken for granted.
While it is
rightly contended that the deployment did not
achieve the declared aims of Pakistan stopping its
support to militants and terrorists and the
release of some of our wanted criminals and
terrorists, Parakrama was not without a definite
impact on Pakistan. Our rapid and massive build-up
on the border and the mobilization of the Air
Force and the Navy unsettled that country. Our recognized
conventional military superiority made the
Pakistanis apprehensive about the outcome of a
war. Behind the shrill claims of a devastating
riposte if India dared to attack, the symptoms of
fear were becoming increasingly discernible across
all strata of Pakistani society. After all,
President Musharaf’s historical turn around in
January last year was not without reason.
The winds of
change in Pakistan have since begun to blow. They
may yet be mild but if fanned sensibly, they can
gather sufficient strength to bring about a
reorientation in Pakistan that sees the wisdom of
living in peace with India. Uncertainty can be
debilitating to a nation’s psyche; this time the
Indians withdrew but how can we be sure that the
next time there is a provocation India does not
attack Pakistan? Any attempt to match the
conventional military strength of India will
definitely bring about the economic collapse of
Pakistan and its nuclear brinkmanship does not
seem to be working. Will these realities lead to a
petering out of the proxy war in Kashmir with the
passage of time? And what else should we do to
further trigger the change? Our future strategy
must hinge around the answers to these questions.
Internationally,
Parakrama focussed the arc lights on India’s
threshold of tolerance to Pakistan supported
terrorism. While there may not have been worldwide
acceptance and endorsement of our position, we can
claim reasonable diplomatic success from the
overall outcome. We have today quite a few nations
led by the US trying to convince Pakistan to stop
support to terrorism and at the same time
chastising Pakistan for its irresponsible
utterances with regard to weapons of mass
destruction. Some of us may feel that the US is
merely stringing us along and not doing enough to
pressure Pakistan. If that is so then we need to
do more to bring Indo-US relations on a more even
keel.
Within India
it is strange that the end of Parakrama went
virtually unnoticed. But should we have expected
differently? For the withdrawal coincided with the
end of elections in J&K and the beginning of
the election campaign in Gujarat. The core of
India is electoral politics; national security or
for that matter, development are peripheral
issues. Unless this changes, the future of India
will remain hostage to political vagaries.
The military
is now back in its barracks after staying on alert
for almost a year. It deserves to now rest and
recharge for a while. Even while it does so it
cannot let down its guard. Come summer and the
call of duty may again beckon.
This piece
appeared in the India Defence Review and is
presented here with the permission of the
editor.
|