"There is a tide in the affairs of
men,
Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune;
Omitted, all the voyage of their life,
Is bound in shallows and in miseries.
On such a full sea, we are now afloat,
And we must take the current when it serves,
Or lose our ventures."
There are times, in the history of nations, when they stand at the
threshold of greatness. India is poised at such a point. The decisions made today have
critical implications for the future. In order to achieve great power status, it is
important for a nation to have a security surplus, economic and military hard power, and
intellectual soft power. Achieving these, for India, requires clear thinking and the will
to put into action, plans designed to realize the goals.
To achieve a security surplus, India needs to stabilize its borders,
develop the capability to project, and sustain control beyond its borders. Today, India is
constrained by China, Pakistan, and faces instability in Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, and
Myanmar. India must bring military, diplomatic and political resources to mitigate this
situation. Economic and military hard power is necessary for a nation to engage in
economic warfare, and obtain technological superiority over the enemy. Today, India is
experiencing some of the fastest growth rates in the world because of its economic reforms
in the last decade. However, it must tackle the remaining legacy of a command economy if
India is to develop into an economic power. It is necessary to undertake actions that will
stimulate economic growth and foster concomitant advances in science and technology.
Intellectual soft power includes the creation of a durable political and economic system,
intellectual leadership, strategic foresight, diplomatic skill, and education. Clearly,
much remains to be achieved in this arena as well.
As India pursues great power status, it is imperative that the
strategies necessary to achieve this are adopted. It is necessary that India develop the
strategic thought and debate that enables an accurate assessment of its needs. So also is
the need to create policies that address these needs. The political will to withstand
international pressure is critical. India must realize that it is beholden only to its
interests. Consequently, there is no place for shibboleths in the affairs of state. The
diplomatic record of accomplishment of the Vajpayee administration has been creditable in
this regard. However, it must be emphasized that India cannot be all things to all
nations, if she has her best interests at heart. This means that we must speedily address
short comings in our armed forces and the delays in procurement, in the creation of a
strategic command, in the creation of a National Security Council, in information warfare,
and in the reorganization of the Ministry of Defense among other matters. India cannot
delay or shelve projects that are critical to its security, in order to curry favor in
foreign capitals.
This issue focuses on the state of the armed forces. Lather recognizes
the need for greater mountain warfare, rapid action forces, unified intelligence
processing, and creating a framework for integrated operations. The proposed restructuring
of the Armed Forces is undertaken on this basis. Subramaniam addresses the changes that
should be seen in the Indian Army based on a more realistic assessment of its role and
needs. Mazumdar recognizes the role of the Indian Navy in projecting and sustaining
control over the Indian Ocean Region and documents the moves made to solidify its vision
of the future. Chattopadhyay documents the changing role of the Indian Air Force, and the
acquisitions and changes in force structure necessary to accommodate its new role. The
News and Views section, as always, provides short insightful commentary on influential
articles of relevance to India.
We bring our readers a new section, "Know Your Army." This
section provides primers aimed at improving our readers' information about the regiments
upon which India's security rests. The first in a series of articles is about the Army's
senior most regiment - The Brigade of the Guards.
Finally, we have a special section addressing some of the concerns
evinced about Indias nuclear forces. Natarajan critically analyzes Iyengars
comments on Indias nuclear weapons with a view to disabuse the reader,
scientifically, of erroneous analyses of Iyengars comments. Badri-Maharaj
systematically addresses an issue that has pre-occupied opinion-makers in India recently.
He documents the maturity of the Indian nuclear program and provides an insightful
comparison of the nuclear capability of India and Pakistan.
Finally, we would like to express our gratitude to Rakesh Koshy for his
copy editing efforts, Shaji Manipurath for his work on the cover and our readers
& well
wishers who have seen the "new" Monitor into its first year.